TOTAL VOLUME:
$155b
24H VOL:
$321,553,888
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,001,463,625
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,994,878,661
419,895
Markets across
39,929
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game between Auburn and Ole Miss. It tracks the competitive performance of both teams specifically in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that designated timeframe.
If Ole Miss wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team winning the 4th quarter. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market finds value compared to conventional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome, and the prices are determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price of that outcome increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract indicates the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood, with higher prices signifying greater confidence. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team is winning the 4th quarter of the Auburn vs Ole Miss game at the final whistle. The result will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the confirmed outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance during the earlier parts of the game, or even pre-game analysis suggesting a tactical advantage for one team, could also cause movement. Public sentiment and media coverage can also play a role, as they influence the overall flow of trading activity within this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.