TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the third quarter of an upcoming college football game between Auburn and Ole Miss. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the game during a specific period, offering insight into potential momentum shifts. The outcome depends solely on third-quarter performance, not the final game result.
If Ole Miss wins the 3rd quarter of the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn wins the 3rd quarter of the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of public information, expert analysis, or even behavioral biases. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks, especially when new data emerges that impacts perceived probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price moves based on supply and demand; if more people believe Auburn will win the third quarter, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the third quarter, as officially recorded by game officials, will determine the winning outcome for this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be determined independently of the market itself. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and resolution details following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected performance during the first or second quarter of the game will likely have a significant effect, as traders adjust their predictions based on observed momentum. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large-volume trades on Kalshi could also cause noticeable price movements, reflecting shifts in overall market sentiment.