TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between Auburn and Ole Miss specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other during that quarter, regardless of the final game outcome.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins the quarter by more than the designated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points depending on the market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to commence within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the eventual game status.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can sometimes lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable benchmark for comparison.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread difference at the end of the third quarter between Auburn and Ole Miss will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Auburn or Ole Miss teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly move the price, especially if they signal a strong conviction from informed traders.