TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Georgia will win its college football game against Auburn by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 68.0% probability to Georgia winning by over 2.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score following the conclusion of play on October 17, 2026, with final settlement occurring no later than the resolution date estimate of 2026-10-18.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For markets where Georgia wins by a specified point margin or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, for markets where Auburn wins by a specified point margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if that condition is met, otherwise No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to game time. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on the final point difference between Auburn and Georgia. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by new information, expert analysis, and the collective sentiment of all participants trading on Kalshi. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Auburn versus Georgia football game will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy revealed through media reports could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal a change in market sentiment and drive price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone participating in this market.