TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Auburn versus Georgia college football contest, a market outcome is determined if either team achieves a touchdown via defensive means—intercepting a pass and running it back, or recovering a fumble and returning it—or through special teams—returning a kickoff or punt. Such touchdowns count if they happen in regulation or overtime. The resolution depends on whether at least one of these scoring plays occurs during the game.
If Auburn and Georgia collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Auburn vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals forecasting the likelihood of a defensive touchdown. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the crowd believes value lies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a defensive touchdown will occur. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'yes' outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the dashboard, providing transparency into supply and demand for contracts.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether a defensive touchdown is officially recorded during the Auburn versus Georgia football game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Key injuries to offensive or defensive players on either team, particularly quarterbacks or key defensive specialists, could shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the likelihood of a high-scoring game and, consequently, the chances of a defensive touchdown. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public sentiment reflected in polls or analyst predictions.