TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:08 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the point differential in the final quarter of a college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how strongly either team might perform in the last period of play. Outcomes depend solely on points scored during the 4th quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team for a 'Yes' resolution. If Georgia wins by more than the specified margin, the corresponding Georgia markets resolve to 'Yes.' Conversely, if Auburn wins by more than the specified margin, the corresponding Auburn markets resolve to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the game's outcome, leading to price discovery driven by diverse opinions. It's common to see initial discrepancies between prediction markets and sportsbooks, but as more information becomes available and the event approaches, the odds tend to converge. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 4th quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most likely spread, and fluctuations in price reflect changing expectations based on news, analysis, and other relevant information.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the 4th quarter of the Auburn vs. Georgia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, determining which spread contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score and official statistics will be the basis for determining the winning contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Auburn or Georgia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also impact predictions. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift the market. Furthermore, as the game draws closer, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions on the likely outcome could influence trading activity and move the price.