TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either team wins during a specific quarter of a college football game. It focuses exclusively on the third quarter's scoring, ignoring the rest of the match. Bettors can choose from various point spreads to reflect different levels of victory margin for each team.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific point-spread threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome—either Georgia or Auburn must exceed the designated margin of victory in that quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets. However, as game day approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those found at major sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Auburn-Georgia 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders are essentially betting on their prediction of the final spread. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the third quarter of the Auburn versus Georgia football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Auburn or Georgia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal shifts in market sentiment and cause the price to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.