TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This market resolves if Tennessee wins the second quarter by more than 2.5 points in their college football game against Alabama. Only second-quarter points are considered, and the market remains active for games postponed but starting within 48 hours of the original time.
If Georgia wins the 2nd quarter of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn wins the 2nd quarter of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd quarter of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Auburn winning the 2nd quarter or Georgia winning the 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the collective believes is the true probability, creating a dynamic and informative market signal.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team has the higher score at the end of the second quarter of the Auburn versus Georgia football game. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome of this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Auburn or Georgia teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact the market. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and public polling data, while not directly incorporated into Kalshi’s pricing, can influence trader sentiment and lead to shifts in the odds. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives, will also move the market.