TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Auburn and Georgia. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Auburn vs Georgia college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified team must win the first quarter by more points than the designated spread. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and expert opinions. However, this market allows anyone to trade, so prices can shift rapidly based on new information or changing sentiment. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the actual game outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are essentially betting on what the actual point spread will be at the end of the first quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy a contract for a specific spread, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official point spread at the end of the first quarter of the Auburn versus Georgia football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The final point spread will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Auburn or Georgia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, even general public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere could influence the price on Kalshi as traders react to new information.