TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Elections
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
ATP Tokyo Winner
kalshi

Who will win the ATP Tokyo?

Volume:
$104,251

Carlos Alcaraz

 - Kalshi

Carlos Alcaraz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 10:52 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Carlos Alcaraz

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,396
N/A
N/A
$37,292
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arthur Fils

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,423
N/A
N/A
$14,960
Settled
No
kalshi

Jiri Lehecka

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,109
N/A
N/A
$9,311
Settled
No
kalshi

Brandon Nakashima

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,967
N/A
N/A
$3,840
Settled
No
kalshi

Frances Tiafoe

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,184
N/A
N/A
$1,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Blockx

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,459
N/A
N/A
$1,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Ugo Humbert

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,325
N/A
N/A
$1,325
Settled
No
kalshi

Valentin Vacherot

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$749
N/A
N/A
$745
Settled
No
kalshi

Kei Nishikori

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
$570
Settled
No
kalshi

Matteo Arnaldi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
$536
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyrian Jacquet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
$516
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaume Munar

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
No
kalshi

Rafael Jodar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
No
kalshi

Stefanos Tsitsipas

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Taylor Fritz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92
N/A
N/A
$92
Settled
No
kalshi

Zizou Bergs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Michelsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Denis Shapovalov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$29
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Paul

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Luciano Darderi

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Casper Ruud

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorenzo Musetti

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alejandro Tabilo

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional tennis tournament, focusing on which player claims the championship title among a predefined list of competitors. The resolution hinges solely on the tournament's final results and participant status throughout the competition.

Kalshi

If Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frances Tiafoe wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arthur Fils wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Taylor Fritz wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rafael Jodar wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommy Paul wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brandon Nakashima wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Valentin Vacherot wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luciano Darderi wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casper Ruud wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jiri Lehecka wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lorenzo Musetti wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Blockx wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tomas Martin Etcheverry wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alejandro Tabilo wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ugo Humbert wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Michelsen wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arthur Fery wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matteo Arnaldi wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zizou Bergs wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Luca Van Assche wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefanos Tsitsipas wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denis Shapovalov wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matteo Berrettini wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adolfo Daniel Vallejo wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaume Munar wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyrian Jacquet wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sho Shimabukuro wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rei Sakamoto wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Holger Rune wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kei Nishikori wins the 2026 ATP Tokyo professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ATP Tokyo tournament tracks the current odds for each potential winner, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $31,850, and the total volume traded to date, which is $104,251. This allows you to gauge market activity and understand how traders are assessing the likelihood of each player winning the tournament. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the market’s expectations.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a player is heavily favored by the crowd in this market, their odds may be shorter than those available at traditional sportsbooks. Conversely, if there’s disagreement between the market and sportsbook, opportunities for value betting may arise, as the market can sometimes identify mispriced outcomes.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the ATP Tokyo tournament is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who wins the final match will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the ATP Tour and widely reported by sports news outlets. Any potential disputes will be resolved based on these official sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome for this market.

Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Player injuries are a significant catalyst, as the absence of a top contender would likely shift probabilities. Match results leading up to the final, particularly upsets or dominant performances, will also have a substantial impact. News regarding player form, coaching changes, or even weather conditions in Tokyo could also cause shifts in the market. Unexpected announcements or changes in player participation, such as a withdrawal from the tournament, would likely lead to significant price movements.