TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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ATP Tennis: Shanghai, China Winner
polymarket

Who will win ATP Tennis in Shanghai?

Volume:
$94,032

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

 - Polymarket

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 9:08 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alexander Zverev

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rafael Jodar

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniil Medvedev

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tommy Paul

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Felix Auger-Aliassime

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Casper Ruud

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex de Minaur

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Novak Djokovic

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arthur Gea

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arthur Fils

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Shelton

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Bublik

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stefanos Tsitsipas

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Yi Zhou

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Taylor Fritz

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nuno Borges

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zizou Bergs

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Nakashima

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jakub Mensik

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Frances Tiafoe

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Yibing Wu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Michael Zheng

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 117

Description

The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The 2026 Shanghai, China tennis tournament is scheduled for October 5–18, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 Shanghai, China Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Shanghai Masters winner market tracks the current odds offered by traders, a historical price chart showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $7,465. The total volume traded on this market is $94,032. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are assessing the likelihood of each player winning the tournament. The dashboard allows you to see which players are favored and how sentiment shifts as the tournament progresses.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing promotions or biases, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis. If there's a substantial difference, it might indicate an opportunity for value betting or trading.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning the Shanghai Masters. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing perceptions.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Shanghai Masters tournament is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official tournament results will be used to determine the winning player. The resolution will reflect the player who ultimately lifts the trophy at the tournament's conclusion. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, based on the official results of the event.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Player injuries or withdrawals are major catalysts, as they instantly alter the competitive landscape. Unexpected match results in the early rounds of the tournament can also shift odds dramatically. News regarding player form, coaching changes, or even weather conditions in Shanghai could influence trader sentiment. Any significant development affecting a player’s perceived chance of winning is likely to cause movement in this market, creating trading opportunities for those who react quickly.