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ATP Shanghai Winner
kalshi

Who will win the ATP Shanghai?

Volume:
$607,622

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

 - Kalshi

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 9:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,149
N/A
N/A
$39,104
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Alexander Zverev

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120,295
N/A
N/A
$69,468
Settled
No
kalshi

Rafael Jodar

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,859
N/A
N/A
$57,866
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniil Medvedev

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,153
N/A
N/A
$54,168
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Auger-Aliassime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,367
N/A
N/A
$31,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Carlos Alcaraz

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,906
N/A
N/A
$32,819
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex de Minaur

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,287
N/A
N/A
$20,459
Settled
No
kalshi

Arthur Gea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,257
N/A
N/A
$23,910
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Paul

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,458
N/A
N/A
$19,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Zizou Bergs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,412
N/A
N/A
$21,412
Settled
No
kalshi

Casper Ruud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,351
N/A
N/A
$17,301
Settled
No
kalshi

Stefanos Tsitsipas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,112
N/A
N/A
$16,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Botic Van de Zandschulp

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,343
N/A
N/A
$9,261
Settled
No
kalshi

Jakub Mensik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,465
N/A
N/A
$8,798
Settled
No
kalshi

Hubert Hurkacz

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,663
N/A
N/A
$7,394
Settled
No
kalshi

Ilia Simakin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,692
N/A
N/A
$4,692
Settled
No
kalshi

Novak Djokovic

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,312
N/A
N/A
$3,947
Settled
No
kalshi

Terence Atmane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,093
N/A
N/A
$4,093
Settled
No
kalshi

Nikoloz Basilashvili

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,007
N/A
N/A
$4,007
Settled
No
kalshi

Alexander Bublik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,190
N/A
N/A
$2,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Shelton

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,835
N/A
N/A
$2,581
Settled
No
kalshi

Mattia Bellucci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,745
N/A
N/A
$2,745
Settled
No
kalshi

Learner Tien

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,358
N/A
N/A
$2,358
Settled
No
kalshi

Karen Khachanov

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,331
N/A
N/A
$1,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Nishesh Basavareddy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$1,030
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 102

Intro

This market tracks whether Alejandro Davidovich Fokina or Rafael Jodar will win the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. Currently, Kalshi gives Alejandro Davidovich Fokina an 82.0% probability of winning, while Rafael Jodar is at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the official result of the 2026 ATP Shanghai tournament, as determined by its outcome. Keep a close watch on the tournament bracket following its release on October 5, 2026, as this will provide early insight into potential matchups and shift probabilities.

Kalshi

If Lorenzo Sonego wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Roman Safiullin wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyrian Jacquet wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hugo Gaston wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mattia Bellucci wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Zheng wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Walton wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Terence Atmane wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Coleman Wong wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Damm Jr wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Shevchenko wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dane Sweeny wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aleksandar Vukic wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolas Mejia wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shintaro Mochizuki wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nikoloz Basilashvili wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dalibor Svrcina wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lloyd Harris wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexandre Muller wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stefanos Sakellaridis wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rei Sakamoto wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nishesh Basavareddy wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Federico Cina wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ilia Simakin wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tristan Schoolkate wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Shanghai Masters winner market tracks the current odds for each potential winner, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $43,055, and the total volume traded to date, which is $607,622. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each player winning the tournament.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to collectively express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to note that prediction market odds are dynamic and change based on trading activity, potentially converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular player winning the Shanghai Masters. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders involved.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result declared by tournament organizers, identifying the player who wins the Shanghai Masters. The final result will be determined by the on-court outcome of the match and any official rulings made by the tournament referee. Any disputes will be resolved based on the official tournament rules and regulations.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or unexpected match results in the lead-up to the tournament will likely cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in earlier rounds, or particularly strong performances by underdogs, could also shift the odds. Additionally, weather conditions during the tournament, and even pre-match interviews revealing player strategies or confidence levels, might influence trading activity and move the market. Overall tournament momentum and public perception will play a role.