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319,074

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Atlético Nacional vs. Independiente Santa Fe
Sports
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Santa Fe?

Total volume:
$1,238,742
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$536
0.01%
Open interest:
$543,953
0%

Independiente Santa Fe

 - Polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe - Polymarket

90%

-4%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

88%90%92%94%96%

No volume data

Aug 17

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 15, 2026

Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-08-15?

90%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 90¢ buys you 111 shares | Odds: 90% Total Payout: $111 | Net Profit: $11 Multiplier: 1.11x | ROI: 11% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether Independiente Santa Fe will win the upcoming soccer match against Atlético Nacional. The aggregated consensus probability for Independiente Santa Fe winning stands at 90.0%, combining data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution based on official statistics from the governing body or event organizers. The key date to monitor is August 15, 2026, when the match is scheduled to conclude and the betting period ends.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official match results within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of cancellations and post-event revisions.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve based on the official match result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, markets resolve according to their specific outcome conditions
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not affect the outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the 'Atlético Nacional win' and 'Independiente Santa Fe win' markets resolve to 'No', while the 'draw' market resolves to 'Yes'
  • Post-Event Score Revisions: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome
Timing: Markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with a fallback to credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Saturday, August 15, 2026 between Atlético Nacional and Independiente Santa Fe.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the CD Recoleta vs Nacional professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for CD Recoleta, a win for Nacional, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market will resolve to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution exclusively considers the result after normal playing time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Atlético Nacional vs. Santa Fe derby market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays current probabilities, volume of $1,238,742, and 24-hour volume of $1,143,201, letting you see consensus views and divergences as they emerge.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the match’s official conclusion, reflecting which team claims victory or the specific conditions set in the market’s terms.

In the run-up to Aug 15, 2026, several factors may shift probabilities in this market. Key injuries to star players, coaching changes, or recent head-to-head performances can reshape expectations. Momentum swings from earlier fixtures in the season, as well as broader league standings, often influence trader sentiment. Media narratives and pre-match betting trends also play a role. Any last-minute lineup announcements or weather conditions affecting the game could produce sharp movements, so watch for updates as Aug 15, 2026 approaches.