TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:19h:12m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pereira on November 7, 2026. Markets cover which team will win or if the match will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pereira.
Markets resolve based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Cancellations or rescheduling beyond 48 hours result in a fair price resolution. The contest is unaffiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms driving price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating diverse information and reflecting the true probabilities of events. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets and may adjust their odds more quickly in response to breaking news. The difference between these odds can present opportunities for arbitrage.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price formation. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-11-07? at 81.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Atletico Nacional wins at 81.0%. Differences in trading fees, margin requirements, and the types of traders participating on each platform can also contribute to these discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform can impact price stability and responsiveness to new information.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlético Nacional vs. Pereira match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market data shortly after the match concludes, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for determining the outcome of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics for either Atlético Nacional or Deportivo Pereira would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the outcome and, therefore, the market. Major announcements related to team ownership or coaching changes could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by media coverage or social media trends, could contribute to movement in this market.