TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

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40,511

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Atlético Nacional vs. CD Tolima
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Atlético Nacional vs. CD Tolima?

Volume:
$860,404

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 8, 2026

Closed: Oct 8, 8:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$124,453
N/A
N/A
$86,503
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Atlético Nacional vs. CD Tolima)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico Nacional

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429,049
N/A
N/A
$256,123
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlético Nacional

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$95,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tolima

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$190,953
N/A
N/A
$93,151
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Tolima

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,893
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Atlético Nacional and CD Tolima on October 7, 2026, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market will be official statistics of the event as recognized by DIMAYOR or event organizers. With a small 0.1% probability assigned to Atlético Nacional winning, the market overwhelmingly anticipates a tied result; keep an eye on the match itself on October 7, 2026, to see if this forecast holds true.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same core event (90 minutes + stoppage time) and share a consistent hierarchy of data sources for settling the outcome.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by DIMAYOR (Colombian Liga DIMAYOR governing body) or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely without a rescheduled game, win/loss markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official match statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available, whichever is sooner.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 7, 2026 between Atlético Nacional and CD Tolima.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Atletico Nacional vs Tolima professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for October 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Atletico Nacional wins, that market resolves to Yes. If Tolima wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing insights.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a slightly different user base with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to independent price discovery. Trading fees and platform-specific constraints can also contribute to discrepancies. Furthermore, the liquidity – or volume – on each platform impacts price sensitivity; a larger volume on Polymarket might result in a more stable price compared to Kalshi with lower volume. Market sentiment and news flow can also be interpreted differently by traders on each venue.