TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 6:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Atlético Calatayud CF and CA Osasuna, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlético Calatayud CF" if Atlético Calatayud CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Osasuna" if CA Osasuna are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Atlético Calatayud CF and CA Osasuna, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlético Calatayud CF" if Atlético Calatayud CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Osasuna" if CA Osasuna are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with the total value of all shares summing to 1. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to reflect the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Atlético Calatayud CF vs. CA Osasuna match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on publicly available and verifiable information regarding the game's events, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, particularly to key attacking players, would likely cause a shift. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a specific outcome could sway traders and alter the probabilities reflected in this market on Polymarket.