TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:48 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group concerns the outcome of a Copa del Rey soccer match between Atlético Calatayud CF and CA Osasuna, scheduled for October 29, 2026. Markets exist on which team will win, or if the match will end in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Copa del Rey game, scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026 between Atlético Calatayud CF and CA Osasuna.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna professional Copa del Rey soccer match originally scheduled for October 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Atletico Calatayud, a win for Osasuna, or a tie. If either team secures a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the stated rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from consideration for market resolution.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets are driven by genuine belief and information exchange among participants. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when a large and informed crowd participates. Furthermore, prediction markets allow traders to hedge positions and express nuanced opinions, which isn't always possible with standard sportsbook bets. The volume of $41,886 suggests active trading and a potentially refined forecast.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a slightly different user base with varying expertise and information access, influencing their trading decisions. Additionally, the specific market design and liquidity on each platform can create price discrepancies. For example, differing trading fees or limits could impact price formation. While both platforms aim to predict the same outcome for the Atlético Calatayud vs. Osasuna match, these nuances can lead to observable differences in the probabilities reflected by their respective prices.