TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Spain's top league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether one team secures a victory or if the game concludes equally.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Atletico vs Valencia professional Spanish Liga F soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Atletico market occurs if Atletico wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Valencia market occurs if Valencia wins within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider regulation time results, with no account taken of extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information beyond what is captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, the prediction market odds will likely diverge. However, it’s common to see correlation, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's important to note that discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, giving you insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Atletico vs Valencia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will receive nothing. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly following the event’s completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Oct 23, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atletico or Valencia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also shift the odds. Finally, any major upsets in other relevant matches could indirectly affect the perceived probabilities in this market, as traders reassess team strengths and weaknesses.