TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming La Liga soccer match between Atletico and Deportivo De La Coruna. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the match exceeds that threshold. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Atletico vs Deportivo De La Coruna professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for October 24, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. All markets share the same event scope and timing, with each threshold defining a separate 'Yes' or 'No' outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different goal totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at various price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final goal total and trading accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal tally from the Atletico vs Deportivo match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will settle based on the total number of goals scored in regulation time, plus any added time as determined by the match officials. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atletico or Deportivo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about referee assignments or stadium conditions might also play a role. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants could create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information or adjust their predictions.