TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Atletico vs Bayern Munich: Total Goals
⌛Ending Soon
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of Atletico vs Bayern Munich?

Total volume:
$2,075
Volume 24h:
$1,075N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,075
107%

Over 1.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 23h:58m:38s

Will over 1.5 goals be scored?

87%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 87¢ buys you 115 shares | Odds: 87% Total Payout: $115 | Net Profit: $15 Multiplier: 1.15x | ROI: 15% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

Trade
87%
Yes 87¢No 15¢
2¢
N/A
$1,002
0.16%
N/A
$1,002
23h 58m
Active
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

68%
3%
Yes 68¢No 33¢
1¢
N/A
$391
54,179%
N/A
$390
23h 58m
Active
limitless

Atletico Madrid and Bayern München have 3 or more total goals?

N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 19h 58m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
68%
Yes 68¢No 33¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

46%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
N/A
$665
0%
N/A
$665
23h 58m
Active
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

27%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
N/A
$18
0%
N/A
$18
23h 58m
Active
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 58m
Active
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
23h 58m
Active
Total markets: 7

Description

This group forecasts the total goals scored in the Champions League match between Atletico Madrid and Bayern Munich on November 3, 2026. Markets are offered for various over/under goal thresholds, and resolution depends on the total goals scored during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: SKU Risk - Limitless offers a single threshold (3+ goals) while Kalshi offers multiple thresholds, creating a mismatch in market granularity.Hero tip: Traders should understand that Limitless's '3 or more goals' market corresponds to Kalshi's 'Over 2.5 Goals' market. Consider hedging positions if you have strong directional conviction.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Resolution is based on whether the total goals exceed specific thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Each threshold represents a separate market.
  • limitless: Resolution is based on whether the total goals are 3 or more after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Includes provisions for postponed or incomplete matches.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Atletico vs Bayern Munich Champions League match scheduled for November 3, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined number of goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—but excluding extra time or penalty phases—must exceed the stated threshold. All markets share the same underlying condition: the total goals counted are those formally recorded at the end of regulation time. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Atletico Madrid and Bayern München is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the UEFA Champions League match scheduled for November 3, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those available for this market, often reflect a different kind of insight than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individuals betting with their own capital. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when incorporating information not readily captured by traditional models. However, sportsbooks generally offer more accessible markets and higher liquidity, while this market provides a unique perspective on the likely outcome of the Atletico vs Bayern Munich match. The difference in pricing can also be attributed to differing levels of public awareness and engagement.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Limitless may differ due to variations in trader demographics, market design, and trading volume. Kalshi might attract a different type of trader than Limitless, leading to differing interpretations of the same information. Additionally, the fee structures and liquidity available on each platform can influence pricing. For example, higher fees on one platform might lead to wider spreads, while greater liquidity on another could result in tighter pricing. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market for the Atletico vs Bayern Munich match.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Atletico vs Bayern Munich match will be used to determine whether the total goals scored meet the conditions defined by this market. The outcome will be based on official match data and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atletico Madrid or Bayern Munich would likely cause a shift in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or strategic approaches, could also influence predictions. Furthermore, unexpected weather conditions on match day or any controversies leading up to the game could move the market. Finally, late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also affect how traders assess the likelihood of different goal totals.