TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Bayern Munich wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Bayern Munich wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:00h:31m
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This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Champions League soccer match between Atletico and Bayern Munich. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The event captures the competitive balance and scoring dynamics between these two teams.
The event determines resolution based on the goal differential in the Atletico vs Bayern Munich professional Champions League soccer match scheduled for Nov 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds define resolution: Atletico winning by more than 2.5 goals, Atletico winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bayern Munich winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Bayern Munich winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' under its specific threshold validates the outcome; if none are met, all markets resolve to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and opinions not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing expert or public sentiment about the Atletico vs Bayern match. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Atletico vs Bayern match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment regarding the game.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Atletico vs Bayern match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The final price on Kalshi will reflect the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Atletico or Bayern Munich would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies are other potential catalysts. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely spread in the Atletico vs Bayern match has the potential to shift the market.