TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala
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What is the result of Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala?

Volume:
$259,834

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 11:04 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$124,675
N/A
N/A
$63,068
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tlaxcala

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,959
N/A
N/A
$40,026
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico Morelia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,200
N/A
N/A
$24,947
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks a Liga de Expansion MX soccer contest between Atletico Morelia and Tlaxcala. The winner is determined by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no account for extra time or penalty phases.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Atletico Morelia wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Tlaxcala wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Liga de Expansión MX market provides real-time insights into how traders are pricing the outcome of the Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala match. You can view the current odds, track the price history of contracts representing different outcomes, and monitor the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $250,587. The total volume traded on this market is $259,834. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs with real money. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. Examining both can provide a more well-rounded view of potential outcomes for this match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current estimate of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time forecast. The market’s efficiency is driven by traders attempting to profit from perceived mispricings, constantly refining the probabilities reflected in the contract values.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atletico Morelia vs Tlaxcala match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—Atletico Morelia winning, Tlaxcala winning, or a draw—is the official result, and contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will pay out according to their price at resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the Oct 4, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Atletico Morelia or Tlaxcala could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also drive price movements. Public sentiment and betting trends observed elsewhere may also play a role in shaping the market’s direction.