TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Atletico Morelia vs. Jaiba Brava
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Atletico Morelia vs. Jaiba Brava?

Volume:
$79,454

Jaiba Brava

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:06 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jaiba Brava

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,268
N/A
N/A
$17,467
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jaiba Brava

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Atletico Morelia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,850
N/A
N/A
$11,073
Settled
No
polymarket

Atletico Morelia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,833
N/A
N/A
$11,461
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Atletico Morelia vs. Jaiba Brava)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga de Expansion MX soccer match between Atletico Morelia and Jaiba Brava on October 17, 2026. Markets exist for Atletico Morelia winning, Jaiba Brava winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Different resolution logic is applied if the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game. Polymarket resolves winner markets to 'No', while Kalshi resolves the Tie market to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Be aware of the cancellation risk. Polymarket markets for a winner will likely be worthless if the game is canceled, while the Kalshi Tie market will pay out.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This applies to the Atletico Morelia and Jaiba Brava win markets.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the Kalshi markets resolve to "Yes" for Tie.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga de Expansión MX game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Atletico Morelia and Jaiba Brava.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Liga de Expansion MX soccer match between Atletico Morelia and Jaiba Brava scheduled for October 17, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Atletico Morelia or Jaiba Brava wins the match within the 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee. If the match concludes with both teams level after regulation time, the 'Tie' outcome resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the governing rules. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration for this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Liga de Expansión MX match between Atletico Morelia and Jaiba Brava. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $79,454, with $68,239 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard displays a consensus view of the market, reflecting the combined predictions of traders on both venues. This allows for a broader perspective on potential results than looking at either Polymarket or Kalshi in isolation. The current market indicates a dynamic assessment of the game's likely winner.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the diverse knowledge and insights of many individual traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of bets and incentives, and liquidity can vary significantly between the two. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a significant event or catalyst impacts this market.