TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Atletico de Rafaela and CA Atlanta, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atletico de Rafaela" if Atletico de Rafaela score more goals than CA Atlanta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atletico de Rafaela and CA Atlanta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Atlanta" if CA Atlanta score more goals than Atletico de Rafaela in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Atletico de Rafaela and CA Atlanta, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atletico de Rafaela" if Atletico de Rafaela score more goals than CA Atlanta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atletico de Rafaela and CA Atlanta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Atlanta" if CA Atlanta score more goals than Atletico de Rafaela in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Atletico Rafaela vs Atlanta second half. The price of these shares reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive up its price, indicating increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the second half of the Atletico Rafaela vs Atlanta match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on which team wins the second half, or if the second half ends in a draw. The platform will verify the official result and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or in-game performance during the first half could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential traders could create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for making informed trading decisions in this market.