TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Atletico de Rafaela and CA Atlanta, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Atletico de Rafaela vs. CA Atlanta match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between Atletico de Rafaela and CA Atlanta, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Atletico de Rafaela vs. CA Atlanta match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities adjust more rapidly to new information or changing perceptions than sportsbook odds, providing a potentially more dynamic reflection of expectations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific exact score. The price of these shares directly reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the predicted outcome. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Atletico Rafaela vs CA Atlanta match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Resolution will be based on the officially recorded result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Atletico Rafaela or CA Atlanta could significantly shift expectations. Match previews, expert analysis, and even weather conditions leading up to the game could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can cause price movements, reflecting shifts in collective sentiment among market participants. Keep an eye on these signals as the match date approaches.