TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a knockout match where only one can progress to the next stage. The outcome determines which team advances to continue their tournament journey.
This market resolves based on the result of a single soccer match between two teams in the Copa del Rey. If Atletico Calatayud advances past Osasuna, the "Atletico Calatayud advances" market settles to Yes; if Osasuna advances, the "Osasuna advances" market settles to Yes. All references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with Kalshi.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market's odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook, resulting in a potentially more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – Atletico Calatayud advancing or Osasuna advancing – is deemed to have occurred based on the official match result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled according to the final outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could indicate new information or a change in sentiment regarding the Atletico Calatayud vs Osasuna match, causing the odds to adjust accordingly.