TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:22h:15m
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This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in Mexico's top league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether one team secures a victory or if the game concludes without a clear winner.
The event involves a professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, between Atlas and Pachuca. There are three possible outcomes: a win for Atlas, a win for Pachuca, or a tie—all determined exclusively by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade, potentially leading to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market as new information becomes available. It's important to compare both to get a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Atlas vs Pachuca match. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlas vs Pachuca match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Atlas, a win for Pachuca, or a draw – is the correct one according to the official results. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Atlas or Pachuca, changes in team form or coaching staff, and even weather conditions that might affect the match. Unexpected announcements related to the game’s venue or scheduling could also cause shifts in the market. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role in shaping trader expectations and driving price movements.