TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Atlas and Guadalajara, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the Atlas vs Guadalajara Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific goal-differential threshold: Atlas winning by more than 2.5 goals, Atlas winning by more than 1.5 goals, Guadalajara winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Guadalajara winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of participants. It's common to see this market odds move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Atlas vs Guadalajara spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective prediction of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Atlas vs Guadalajara match. The platform will verify the outcome against trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the Atlas vs Guadalajara spread between now and Oct 11, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift market sentiment. News regarding tactical approaches or potential lineup changes could also move the market. Even public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.