TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:04 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Atlas FC and CD Guadalajara, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlas FC" if Atlas FC score more goals than CD Guadalajara in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atlas FC and CD Guadalajara score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Guadalajara" if CD Guadalajara score more goals than Atlas FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Atlas FC and CD Guadalajara, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlas FC" if Atlas FC score more goals than CD Guadalajara in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Atlas FC and CD Guadalajara score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Guadalajara" if CD Guadalajara score more goals than Atlas FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, particularly in response to breaking news or late-developing trends, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand; there are no external factors influencing the valuation of shares. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the second half of the Atlas FC versus CD Guadalajara match. The platform will look to official sources to determine which outcome occurred, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even referee announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half of the match, such as early goals or red cards, will likely cause substantial price movements as traders react to the unfolding situation. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market’s probability assessment.