TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specific goal differences during the regular match duration, again excluding extra time or penalties.
These markets resolve based on the outcome of the Atlante vs San Luis professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Two markets focus on Atlante winning by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, while the other two focus on San Luis winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. If the winning margin meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the determination of the winning margin. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Atlante vs San Luis match, or potentially an informational advantage held by traders in this market. It's a good practice to compare both to inform your own assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders participating in this market for the Atlante vs San Luis match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Atlante vs San Luis match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate after the event concludes, providing a clear outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-game analysis, could also play a role. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in soccer performance, might also cause traders to reassess their positions in this market for the Atlante vs San Luis match.