TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Luis will win its Liga MX soccer match against Atlante. Currently, Kalshi gives San Luis a 69.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 26.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding extra time or penalties – as reported by the official Liga MX results. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the final result on October 23, 2026, and the market will resolve the following day, October 24, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the Atlante vs San Luis Liga MX soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie, a separate 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows participants to express their own informed opinions, leading to odds that may diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment than traditional betting venues. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the collective intelligence of traders weighs various factors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Atlante vs San Luis match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The market operates similarly to a stock exchange, with traders acting as both price-makers and price-takers, constantly refining the probabilities based on their individual insights and collective knowledge.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atlante vs San Luis match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any updates that might affect the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence the outcome and, consequently, the market prices. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match can play a role, especially if there's a significant shift in perceived team strengths. Major upsets in related matches or changes in coaching staff could also contribute to volatility in this market as traders reassess probabilities.