TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional MLS soccer match between Atlanta and Toronto. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is more or less dynamic in terms of scoring. The outcomes reflect varying levels of offensive performance in the match.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Atlanta vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market has a specific threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each evaluates the same match under its respective goal-count criterion. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different types of forecasts and have different incentives driving them.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they’ll bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Atlanta vs Toronto match will be used to determine the total goals scored. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing sports league. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant supporting information on Kalshi after the event concludes and the result is verified.
Several factors could influence the Atlanta vs Toronto goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift expectations. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, such as a surge in betting activity on a particular outcome, could also affect the prices.