TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Atlanta and Toronto. The result is determined solely by the standing after the full 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled based on whether Atlanta wins, Toronto wins, or the game ends in a tie within this regulation time frame.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Atlanta vs Toronto professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Atlanta market occurs if Atlanta wins in regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Toronto occurs if Toronto wins in regulation. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly considers regulation time results, with no account taken of extended play or penalty outcomes.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that the odds on this market move differently than those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment changes. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly in situations where there's significant uncertainty or a perceived edge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's consensus expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. The current market price indicates the implied probability of a particular team winning, and traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own predictions and the market's collective view.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the NBA Finals, determining which team wins the championship series. The platform will then verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders will know the outcome shortly after the conclusion of the series and official announcement of the champion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injuries to key players on either team are a major catalyst, as are any unexpected changes in team performance or coaching strategies. News regarding player availability, such as suspensions or illness, will also likely cause price fluctuations. Major upsets in earlier games of the series, or even compelling analysis from sports commentators, could shift trader sentiment and impact the market. Any significant public statements or developments related to the teams involved could also move this market before it resolves.