TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players or defensive units score touchdowns in an upcoming professional football game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay. Each market focuses on a different participant's performance in terms of scoring touchdowns during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players or defensive units score at least one touchdown in the specified Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Pro Football game. For each participant, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether they scored a touchdown during the game. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as valid touchdowns for settlement purposes. All markets are independent, and each resolves separately according to these conditions.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the game and potential scoring plays.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and evolving expectations for the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game. This dynamic process ensures the market price reflects the collective intelligence of those trading the event.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of touchdowns scored in the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all impact trading activity and move the price of contracts on Kalshi.