TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay professional football game will exceed 23.5. Currently, the “over 17.5 points scored?” outcome is trading at 78.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Participants should closely watch the game itself on November 1, 2026, as the final score at the end of regulation will determine whether the total points scored surpass the threshold for settlement on November 2, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total combined points scored by Atlanta and Tampa Bay in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Thresholds range incrementally from 23.5 points to 65.5 points, offering varied levels of difficulty for achieving a Yes outcome. All secondary rules consistently state that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives that traditional sportsbooks might miss. While sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate predictions as new information emerges. It’s common to see differences between the two, as sportsbooks factor in a profit margin, while this market is driven by pure prediction. However, significant discrepancies can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored will be over or under a certain threshold. As more traders buy contracts predicting 'over', the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total from the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics available following the conclusion of the game. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. As the game approaches, even seemingly minor updates can lead to shifts in sentiment and, consequently, in the price of contracts within this market.