TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the official statistics recorded during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Atlanta or Tampa Bay in their game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) that, if met or exceeded by the respective team, results in a 'Yes' outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to commence within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific yardage threshold being wagered upon.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their action, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for each team in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, will determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will then settle based on the outcome that most accurately reflects the total yards gained by each team during the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries to quarterbacks, running backs, or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant shifts in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also impact expectations for passing or rushing yardage. Late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the total yardage for each team.