TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being exceeded. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams in the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores above a particular point threshold in the designated game. If the team's points exceed the stated threshold at the end of the game, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing league's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal risk assessments, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible team totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are those who correctly anticipate the outcome. The price discovery process is dynamic, meaning prices change rapidly based on supply and demand from other traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Atlanta and Tampa Bay will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract values traded on Kalshi. The resolution will be determined by the official scoring of the game, as reported by a trusted sports data provider.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift expectations about the likely team totals. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even pre-game analysis from sports analysts, can also impact trader sentiment. Any significant development that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring a particular number of points has the potential to move this market considerably before Nov 1, 2026.