TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the defensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing specifically on the number of times each team successfully sacks the opposing quarterback. The outcomes depend solely on the game's statistics, not the final score.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges exclusively on the verified game statistics, with no consideration given to the overall game outcome beyond sack counts.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. It's common to see initial discrepancies between the two, which may narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Analyzing these differences can be insightful for both novice and experienced bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a unique perspective on the potential for sacks in the game.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded by each team during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. Official game statistics from the NFL will serve as the basis for verification. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players are significant, as they directly impact a team’s ability to protect their quarterback or pressure the opposing one. Weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could affect passing offenses and thus the likelihood of sacks. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or changes in defensive schemes could also shift expectations. Any updates impacting the perceived strength of either team’s pass rush or pass protection will likely move the market.