TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Tampa Bay will win their November 1, 2026 game against Atlanta by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of Tampa Bay winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 87.0%. The market will resolve based on the final point differential in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the outcome of the game itself on November 1, 2026, as that will directly determine the resolution of this market.
All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team meets or exceeds the specified point differential stated in the market title. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete per official league rules, all markets are void. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can offer a broader perspective on the potential result of the game and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each spread, as their profits depend on correctly predicting the final result. The more traders who believe a particular spread is likely, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time forecast of the game’s outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game, as officially recorded by a reputable sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will reflect whether the actual point difference falls within the ranges defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or breaking news, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected developments in team strategy or coaching decisions could also contribute to movement in this market.