TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Deshaun Watson's rushing yards in the same Cleveland vs Pittsburgh contest dictate contract values. Yes positions gain value linearly with each yard up to the $1.00 limit.
Contracts pay based on rushing yards recorded by specified players in designated NFL games. Yes contracts earn $0.0025 per yard up to $1.00 maximum, while No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are scalar and capped at 400 yards, with examples provided for different yard thresholds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard ladder outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current market price represents the probability of that particular outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on Kalshi. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for each player will be used to determine which ladder outcome is achieved. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a fair and transparent process. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome was reached, according to the contract terms.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain or snow is predicted, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also move the market. Finally, any shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could influence trading activity and alter the odds.