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412,077
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Closed: Nov 1, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether Bucky Irving will achieve specific rushing yard thresholds in a football game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay. The outcomes depend entirely on Irving's performance during the match, with special provisions if he doesn't play.
All markets resolve based on whether Bucky Irving records the specified rushing yard threshold (ranging from 40+ to 150+) in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay professional football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Irving is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price before kickoff. Once Irving takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly based on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold-based markets, ensuring consistent settlement regardless of the specific yardage target.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might suggest differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game, or that the market has identified information not yet fully priced into sportsbook odds. It's a good idea to compare both to inform your decision-making process.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and forecast the total rushing yards for the game.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who bet against the outcome may incur a loss. The market’s resolution will be based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. Injury reports for key running backs on either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would be a major catalyst, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or coaching strategies could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected news about player availability or a significant shift in public perception based on expert analysis are other potential drivers of price movement in this market.