TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay. It focuses on whether particular players exceed set thresholds for the number of times they carry the ball during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether named players record a specified minimum number of rushing attempts in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If a player is active for the team but does not take a snap at any point during the game, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap — even if that play is later nullified by a penalty — the market outcome is determined solely by whether the player's actual rushing attempt total meets or exceeds the threshold defined in that specific market. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful for those interested in understanding how various sources assess the probability of a specific rushing attempts total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a higher rushing attempts total is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official rushing attempts total for the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL. The specific number of combined rushing attempts by both teams will determine which contracts pay out and at what value, based on the contract's range. All trading will cease once the official result is known and verified.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the game plan. News regarding coaching strategies or anticipated play-calling tendencies could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even late-breaking information about team formations, could all lead to increased trading activity and price adjustments in this market as traders react to the latest developments.