TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming football game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay. Participants can bet on whether each player's reception count will hit certain thresholds, with payouts scaling based on performance. The structure incentivizes predictions about both star players and key contributors.
Contracts pay out based on the exact number of official receptions recorded by designated Atlanta or Tampa Bay players during the Nov 1, 2026 game. Yes payouts increase non-linearly with each additional reception up to 14 receptions, after which the maximum $1.00 payout is reached. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling factor applied to the reception count normalized against a 14-reception cap, ensuring diminishing returns for each incremental reception. No contracts receive the inverse amount, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. All markets resolve to Yes following the game, with payouts determined solely by the official reception statistics regardless of game outcome or other contextual factors.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game will be used to determine the winning outcome. Official statistics from the game will be the basis for verification. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in player availability, coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance from players in recent games, or adjustments to offensive schemes, could also lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about team news is crucial for anyone participating in this market.