TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the receiving yard performance of specific Atlanta and Tampa Bay players in an upcoming football game. Participants bet on whether each player will exceed a certain level of receiving yards, with payouts scaling based on the actual yardage achieved. The structure allows for nuanced predictions about individual player performance in the contest.
Each market operates as a scalar prediction mechanism where Yes contracts pay a variable amount based on the exact number of receiving yards a designated player records during the specified Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay game. Yes payouts are calculated at a fixed rate of $0.0025 per receiving yard, with a hard cap of $1.00 per contract and a maximum payable yardage threshold of 400 yards. No contracts pay the remainder of the $1.00 contract value not claimed by the Yes payout. Payouts are linearly proportional to yardage achieved, meaning any partial yardage translates to a proportional share of the potential payout. For example, a player recording 80 receiving yards would generate a Yes payout of $0.20 and a corresponding No payout of $0.80, while zero yards would result in a full $1.00 No payout. All markets share identical payout mechanics and constraints, differing only in the specific athlete whose performance is being evaluated.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on their predictions, and the market aggregates these individual beliefs into a collective forecast. The current price reflects the combined judgment of all participants, and is updated in real-time as new information becomes available and trading activity changes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yardage statistics for the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine which receiving yard ladder outcomes were achieved. The market will settle based on the verified receiving yard totals for all eligible players in the game. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final results and the contracts they held at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor official sources for the final data.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they indicate heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yardage totals. Unexpected shifts in team offensive schemes or player usage patterns could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or matchups could influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.