TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of specific Atlanta and Tampa Bay players in an upcoming football game, with payouts scaling based on the receiving yards each player accumulates. Contracts reward higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a dynamic way to speculate on individual player outcomes.
Contracts pay out based on the receiving yards accumulated by designated players in the specified game, using a tiered schedule where each 10-yard increment corresponds to a specific dollar value. The payout structure follows a cubic scaling formula, ensuring that returns increase non-linearly with yardage. For each player market, Yes contracts pay according to the yardage achieved, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards, while No contracts receive the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes following payout calculation, with each player’s performance evaluated independently under the same scalar principles.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices based on their expectations. Traders are incentivized to offer accurate predictions, as they profit if their views align with the eventual outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract representing a specific receiving yardage threshold indicates the probability of that threshold being crossed. Higher prices suggest a greater likelihood, while lower prices indicate a lower probability. The market depth shows the volume available at different price points, giving you an idea of the strength of conviction behind various predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards totals for the relevant players will be used to determine which contracts settle positively or negatively. Traders who correctly predicted whether a certain yardage threshold would be exceeded will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The official NFL statistics will serve as the basis for the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers on either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause substantial price movements. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports on player matchups could further shift expectations. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also contribute to volatility in this market as traders react to new information.