TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player achieves various receiving yard thresholds in an upcoming football game. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's performance during the contest, with specific yardage benchmarks determining the results.
All markets evaluate Bucky Irving's receiving yards in the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, resolving to Yes if he meets or exceeds the specified yardage thresholds (10+, 15+, 20+, 25+, 30+, 40+, 50+, or 60+ yards). A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Irving is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once he takes at least one snap—regardless of whether those plays are nullified by penalties—the markets resolve strictly based on the actual receiving yards he records during the game. This consistent framework ensures that markets are settled either through pre-game fair value assessments when Irving sees no action, or through definitive yardage confirmation once he participates in any offensive play.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or promotional offers. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of different outcomes. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of the actual receiving yards falling within that range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the final receiving yards and trading contracts accordingly.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for the players in the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the contract corresponding to the range in which the actual total receiving yards fall. Traders holding contracts in the correct range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts in incorrect ranges will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on both the Atlanta and Tampa Bay teams are primary catalysts. Changes in quarterback performance or weather conditions during the game could also influence the expected receiving yards. Unexpected coaching decisions or defensive adjustments could shift the dynamics of the passing game. Any news related to player availability or strategic changes has the potential to drive trading activity and alter the prices within this market.