TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 28 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Atlanta or Tampa Bay will be the first team to score 28 points in their Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, or if neither team will reach that threshold. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes: Tampa Bay achieving the milestone first, Atlanta achieving it first, or neither team reaching 28 points during the game, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either team reaching 28 points first. The current price reflects the aggregated opinions of all participants on Kalshi and can fluctuate significantly based on news, injuries, or shifts in public sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Atlanta or Tampa Bay, reaches 28 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. The final score will be used to verify which team achieved the target score first, and that information will be used to settle all outstanding contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atlanta or Tampa Bay would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in offensive or defensive strategies announced by either team could also influence trader sentiment. In-game performance during the early stages of the game, such as a quick scoring drive or a defensive stop, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team's style of play over the other.