TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: Passing Touchdowns
kalshi

What is the result of Atlanta vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$90,101

Michael Penix Jr.: 1+

 - Kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 1+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 3:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 1+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,653
N/A
N/A
$30,004
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 1+

View
0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,766
N/A
N/A
$29,869
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 2+

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,568
N/A
N/A
$14,040
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 2+

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,676
N/A
N/A
$6,575
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,201
N/A
N/A
$1,581
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,028
N/A
N/A
$881
Settled
No
kalshi

Baker Mayfield: 3+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$714
N/A
N/A
$708
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Penix Jr.: 4+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
$492
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks the performance of Baker Mayfield in a specific football game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay. It focuses on how many passing touchdowns he throws during the match, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The resolution depends purely on the actual game statistics.

Kalshi

The event evaluates Baker Mayfield’s passing touchdown performance in the Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay game scheduled for November 1, 2026, across four distinct thresholds: 1+, 2+, 3+, and 4+ passing touchdowns. For each threshold, if Mayfield achieves that number or more, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Mayfield is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once he takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based strictly on the number of passing touchdowns he records during the game. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving outcomes based on actual in-game performance, while accounting for pre-snap market adjustments when a player does not participate.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL passing touchdowns market tracks the current prices for various outcomes, displaying a visual representation of the probabilities assigned by traders. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $89,574. The total volume traded on this market is $90,101. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities within the NFL passing touchdowns market.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the level of confidence traders have in each possible result for the NFL passing touchdowns market.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of passing touchdowns scored in the specified game will be the determining factor. Official game statistics, as reported by the NFL, will be used to verify the final result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.

Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions unfavorable for passing, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced during the week leading up to the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or game-day lineup changes could lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market.