TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming professional football game. The outcome depends on whether designated players meet or exceed predetermined thresholds for pass attempts during the match. Settlement is based on official game statistics once the game concludes.
All markets in this event resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by specified Atlanta or Tampa Bay quarterbacks during the game scheduled for November 1, 2026. For each market, if the named player achieves the stated minimum number of passing attempts (25+, 30+, 35+, 28+, 33+, or 38+), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a referenced player is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at its fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each market, with each focusing on different threshold values for the respective players.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to trade based on their own analysis and information. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the odds in this market can shift more rapidly than those at sportsbooks, potentially offering an advantage to informed traders. It’s common to see convergence as the event draws closer, but discrepancies can still exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various passing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated, providing a real-time assessment of the expected passing game between the Buccaneers and the Falcons.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt total from the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine the winning contract in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution relies on official data and not on any individual’s interpretation or unofficial sources. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be major catalysts, as they directly affect the expected passing volume. Changes in weather forecasts – particularly the likelihood of rain or strong winds – could also influence the game plan and lead to adjustments in the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced during the week leading up to the game could also move the odds. Finally, any significant news regarding team dynamics or player performance could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.