TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how decisively either Atlanta or Tampa Bay wins the final quarter of their football game. It focuses solely on the point difference in the last quarter, ignoring any points scored before or after that period.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the point differential scored during the 4th quarter of the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, with overtime points excluded. If Tampa Bay secures a victory by exceeding specific point margins—from just over 1.5 points up to more than 10.5 points—corresponding markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Atlanta achieves winning margins surpassing thresholds from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points, their respective markets also resolve to Yes. Each market’s outcome hinges entirely on whether the winning team’s 4th-quarter point advantage meets or exceeds its defined threshold, with no consideration given to the overall game result or points scored outside this final quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and participant motivations. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the 4th quarter spread.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the 4th quarter of the Atlanta versus Tampa Bay game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the difference in scores between the two teams at the end of the 4th quarter will be compared to the contract's specified spread. Successful contracts will pay $1.00, while losing contracts will be worth $0.00.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Atlanta or Tampa Bay teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first three quarters of the game, and any adjustments in coaching strategies, could all contribute to changes in the 4th quarter spread and, therefore, the price of contracts in this market.